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Adou Thiero’s NBA Draft stock rises after breakout season with Hogs

Adou Thiero’s NBA journey begins after a breakout year at Arkansas, with scouts eyeing his defensive versatility and athleticism

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Razorbacks' Adou Thiero in a game against Little Rock

FAYETTEVILLE, Ark. — Adou Thiero’s decision to remain in the 2025 NBA Draft marks a key moment for both Arkansas and NBA teams seeking a high-upside defensive specialist.

After a single, standout season with the Razorbacks, Thiero’s blend of size, athleticism, and defensive prowess has positioned him as a late first- or early second-round prospect, with several teams reportedly offering guarantees for a draft selection.

Thiero transferred to the Hogs after two seasons at Kentucky, following head coach John Calipari to Fayetteville.

In his junior year, the 6-foot-8 forward averaged 15.1 points, 5.8 rebounds, 1.9 assists, and 1.6 steals per game, shooting an efficient 54.5% from the field.

His impact was felt on both ends of the floor, leading the Razorbacks in scoring and serving as a catalyst for their late-season surge.

Despite a knee injury that sidelined him for the SEC Tournament and limited his NCAA Tournament minutes, Thiero’s season was widely regarded as a success.

Calipari praised his physical readiness for the NBA.

“If you watch the NBA Playoffs, it is so rough you better be built like Adou Thiero,’ he said. “If you’re not and you’re a younger player, you’re not playing in these playoffs.

“He is physically ready right now and athletically, hits his head on the rim right now. He’s got to heal, but I think he’s in pretty good shape”.

Thiero’s decision to stay in the draft was influenced by strong interest from NBA teams.

According to Razorback reporter Kevin McPherson, Thiero has reportedly secured a second-round guarantee that includes multi-year financial benefits, a significant assurance for any prospect.

“I had a source tell me right before his announcement — maybe a couple of days before — that they’d heard he’d gotten a second-round guarantee,” McPherson said.

This type of commitment typically includes guaranteed money over at least two years, depending on the draft position.

Respected NBA draft analysts have also taken notice. Yahoo Sports’ Kevin O’Connor projected Thiero as the 28th overall pick to the Boston Celtics, highlighting his fit as a potential 3-and-D wing.

“Thiero is a slasher with a jacked frame and an explosive first step, but he has severe limitations on offense as a shooter. If he’s able to figure out the shot, then his length and versatility would make him a classic 3-and-D role player. The Celtics have had good success at improving shooters, so he’d be a fair bet at this spot, considering his other strengths are tailor-made for their system,” O’Connor wrote.

Other mock drafts, including those from ESPN and HoopsHype, have Thiero slotted anywhere from the late first to early second round, citing his two-way potential and developmental upside.

Strengths and Areas for Growth

Strengths:

  • Elite Athleticism: Thiero’s explosiveness and quickness make him a threat in transition and a disruptive defender.

  • Defensive Versatility: He can guard multiple positions, force turnovers, and rebound at a high level for a wing.

  • Physical Tools: With a 7-foot wingspan and NBA-ready frame, he fits the modern mold of a switchable forward.

Areas for Improvement:

  • Shooting Consistency: Thiero’s three-point shooting remains a concern, with percentages below 28% from deep and under 60% from the free-throw line.

  • Offensive Skill Set: He is not yet a reliable creator or pull-up shooter, often relying on athleticism to score. Scouts note that “bully ball is one thing at the high-major level. It’s harder to be a bully-ball specialist at the next level. You need to add some stuff to that so you’re not so predictable”.

  • Decision-Making: At times, Thiero forces plays and can be turnover-prone, especially when pressured.

NBA teams value Thiero’s high motor, defensive intensity, and ability to impact the game without needing the ball.

“Thiero’s physicality, athleticism, motor, and defensive versatility stand out,” As Matt Babcock, NBA Draft Analyst, said. “If he continues to refine his offensive skill set, his value will only rise.”

His ceiling will ultimately depend on the development of his outside shot and ability to round out his offensive game.

If he can become a reliable spot-up shooter and continue to add skill, Thiero could carve out a long-term role as a valuable 3-and-D contributor.

The 2025 NBA Draft will be held over two nights at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, with the first round on June 25 and the second round on June 26.

As the draft approaches, Thiero’s stock remains steady, buoyed by his unique defensive profile and the promise of further development.