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What Bielema can’t or won’t say at press conference

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Monday it’s time for Bret Bielema to face the media again.

This time, however, he will have the advantage of being able to see Arkansas’ latest meltdown and analyze the film.

And the odds are good we’ll hear how close this team is to something that hasn’t really been clearly defined yet.

Here’s exactly where this time is right now:

• Winless in the SEC (0-4)

• Winless against Power 5 opponents through seven games. Yes, over halfway through the season this team does not have a win over a Power 5 opponent.

• Mounting injuries (running back Chase Hayden is likely done for the year).

• Questions continuing to mount about Bielema’s ability to actually get this program out of the miserable quagmire it has been stuck in for nearly a year now.

• Facing four SEC opponents in it’s final five games and needing to win four of those final five just to get into ANY sort of bowl game.

Yes, that’s the depths to which Arkansas football has sank.

Nobody is going to say it’s an impossible situation, but that word is on the tip of every Razorback fans’ tongue.

“This is unchartered waters for me,” he said Saturday night after Auburn dismantled the Hogs for the second year in a row, 52-20.

Bielema has continued to look completely lost and bewildered as the losses continue to mount. It’s almost like he has no idea what to say, do or expect.

In a way you can understand that. He never had to deal with this at Wisconsin.

For four years he kept telling anyone that would listen that he basically was shooting for the fifth year.

“It’s time to raise the bar,” he said before the season started.

So he knows what the expectations were. He knew the implications of what he was facing. Instead of stepping up and saying early on this was going to be a team where a lot of things had to fall exactly right just to match the previous seasons, he continues to think a miracle is going to come along.

Luck, which is what he’s been counting on, hasn’t kicked in. Bielema used up more luck than most coaches get in a career in the 2015 season.

Now he’s going back to where he kept rolling sevens in that 2015 season. From the Henry Heave to Austin Allen getting a 2-point conversion to block Ole Miss from going to Atlanta and the SEC Championship game to getting about 12 different breaks against Tennessee, Arkansas managed to make it to the Liberty Bowl.

And everybody was excited, which may have been the most alarming aspect of the whole thing.

How far has the Hog Nation fallen when getting to the Liberty Bowl is considered a major accomplishment?

Bielema came in guns blazing in December 2012 and all he’s done with that is shoot himself in the foot repeatedly while hitting the occasional bullseye and selling fans on things are getting better.

Quite frankly it’s started to sound like loser’s talk. It’s gotten worse lately.

I’m sure we’ll hear today about how this one play, that one play against Auburn could have made a difference. How this one player just made a mistake and if he’s been six inches farther along it would have been different.

When you deduct the coachspeak from everything Bielema says you’re left with a coach that’s trying to make the reasons this team is so bad sound like close misses.

He can’t tell the truth at this point.

That truth is he can’t recruit the type players necessary to win the SEC. There’s no one else to blame for the talent level after five recruiting cycles.

He can’t say that he lost every good assistant coach he had. There are no answers why folks like Jim Chaney and Sam Pittman left, only to wind up at Georgia, who is now the hottest team in the league outside of Tuscaloosa.

No, he can’t point the finger at athletics director Jeff Long about not having the budget to have even a moderate-size support staff (where there is no limit and Alabama has something like 48 people on the support staff that are never near practice).

That’s the modern-day requirement to win games in the SEC. Guys who do nothing but analyze every minute detail, including scouting potential recruits four and five years away from them being eligible to sign.

Bielema won’t mention any of that. Not that he’s likely more aware of it than anyone else.

If you didn’t know better, you’d swear he acts like a guy that knows what day he’s going to hit the Lottery jackpot.

Which, at the present pace, may be soon after Thanksgiving.

How does Jeffrey handle this mess he created?

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Jeffrey P. Long has been conspicuous by his absence lately.

Of course, he does have obligations to the College Football Playoff committee he serves on. It officially starts in a couple of weeks, but he does have to keep up now. Watching Arkansas football these days might throw off the depth perception, so to speak, for choosing the four best teams at the end of the year.

As the Razorbacks’ football train continued to careen further off course, Jeffrey hasn’t bothered to be seen a lot around Razorback Stadium.

Saturday night’s debacle at the stadium was a disjointed mess. High winds apparently prevented the parachute landings (or else they tried and ended up in Rogers). There was supposed to be a flyover, but that didn’t happen, either. Those have been messed up due to the construction cranes in the north end zone.

And, yet, Jeffrey stays in the background and silent. He says publicly not winning hurts and nobody wants to win more than he does.

Apparently not. Oh, I’m sure he WANTS to win, but he’s made it clear it’s not a priority.

In case you’re wondering, some on the board of trustees have noticed.

Some on Saturday night were placing the blame squarely in Jeffrey’s lap. Oh, it was probably the heat of the moment so we’ll give them the benefit of the doubt.

After all, they are the ones who let things get this far out of shape.

The Hogs are 27-31 just past the halfway point of the Bret Bielema Era and 10-26 in the SEC. This is fast becoming the worst tenure in Razorback football in the last 60 years.

Maybe that’s what Bielema keeps referring to when he says they “are close” to something nobody can figure out.

We’ve already spelled out that Jeffrey should have seen this coming. Anybody who did more than look at Bielema’s won-loss record at Wisconsin could have seen this coming.

As I said in 2012, this was not a home run hire. The national media folks saying that weren’t looking behind the record and doing any in-depth thought, which is normally the case.

Bielema was a band-aid, at best.

Most would have had questions after a two-year record of 10-15 and 2-14 in the SEC. Instead, Bielema got a raise and an extension. After year three, he was 18-23 overall and 7-17 in the league.

Charlie Strong got fired at Texas with the same overall winning percentage his first three years and a better winning percentage in his league.

But that’s at Texas, where winning football games is important.

What hasn’t been pointed out to anyone is that all those Director’s Cup points (whatever in the world that means) doesn’t, well, generate the cash that a winning football team does.

Especially in the Southeastern Conference.

Ask Alabama. Nick Saban gets paid $11 million a year because revenues and enrollment at the University have leaped into the stratosphere and most of the credit has been given to the increased publicity of the football team.

Greg Byrne, the athletics director at Alabama, is all about winning. He was at Mississippi State and fired Sylvester Croom as the coach, who had about the exact same winning percentage as Bielema in the SEC.

At nearly every other school in the league, winning is important.

When Jeffrey tries to sell folks that an athletic department is more than the football team, he’s seriously — hilariously — wrong when you’re in the SEC. Unless you’re Kentucky that counters that with a national basketball program, but they will fire a coach that doesn’t win football games.

All the babbling he does about academics and overall sports teams improving is what he’s good at — yammering on and saying nothing of substance. Actually, it’s risen just about everywhere because of new NCAA mandates. It’s not just Arkansas.

In the SEC, your athletic department is as good as your football team (or basketball team at Kentucky). It affects your new enrollments, it affects the bottom line of the entire university.

At Arkansas, apparently no one seems to grasp that concept. Instead, they focus on making it easier and more affordable for Texas kids to go to the University of Arkansas than schools in their own state.

The citizens of Arkansas are told enrollment is up, things are great and all is well.

Jeffrey stood in front of a crowd at the Little Rock Touchdown Club and said so many absurdly ridiculous things it was impossible to list them all. But he did say Arkansas is not a “win at all cost” program.

Which is obviously true. Some took that to mean violating NCAA rules. Jeffrey allowed that perception to stand, but the guess here is he was telling the truth and he wasn’t talking about NCAA rules.

No, he was talking about devoting the resources to allow coaches to win at the big time level. The Hogs simply don’t have as many support personnel in football or other sports as teams competing for championships.

Which now is the root cause for Jeffrey’s mess.

How — and when — he cleans up this mess will speak volumes about an athletics director that has proven to be less of a leader than concerned about his glorified title of something called vice chancellor or whatever.

He has said he doesn’t like to make midseason changes. That made sense until the NCAA put in an early signing period for football that starts this December.

If it had been in place in 2012, Bielema would have had 10 days before that early signing period.

Which makes things ticklish as Jeffrey tries to figure out how to clean up his mess. There’s no data to work with.

The fair thing to the players, whom Jeffrey says are the most important part of his job, is to not have them commit to a coach that’s going to be fired before signing day. That creates an optic that could backfire.

But it’s something he’s got to work through. He can say what he wants about waiting to see how the season plays out, but all that’s going to do is increase the noise around him.

Well, that’s assuming he says ANYTHING.

He hasn’t in awhile.

Things I think I know: Week Eight

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What else can we say?

Arkansas is the worst team in the SEC West and maybe in the conference.

They don’t have talent. They are very poorly coached.

It’s a mess.

Here are some uncommon numbers about Razorback football against power 5 opponents this season.

  • Arkansas is 107th in the nation at stopping the run, allowing 6.15 yards per carry.
  • Arkansas’ defense is 50{e1768d0eec022f908d772ba0c0274d97d05d220b4341147789bdb671ddb19707} on 3rd down.
  • Arkansas is 120th in America in sacks allowed.
  • Arkansas is 0-18 when trailing at the half under Bret Bielema, who has now presided over three different 0-4 starts in SEC play at Arkansas, which is also a record.
  • Arkansas is 66th in the country at rushing the football.

In short, they stink.

You know who is good? Penn State.

They whooped that overrated tool Jim Harbaugh Saturday night and I hope we get to see Penn State face Alabama in the playoff. You can go ahead and put Saquon Barkley in the Heisman, as old Dale would say.

Arkansas has a better football program then Kansas. The Jayhawks put up 21 yards of offense in a 43-0 beating at the hands of TCU.

I donn’t think LSU’s Derrius Guice will play in the 4th quarter of the Arkansas game.

Next week’s Arkansas-Ole Miss game should be shown to prisoners to get them to confess where to find leaders of ISIS.

I am still not buying Miami, even though I think Mark Richt is the man. Wouldn’t it be something if Miami made the playoff and had to face…..Georgia?

Butch Jones can go ahead and book a moving truck from the company of his choice for the day after the season ends.

I think it’s 70-30 Bielema is gone at the end of the year.

And finally, Montana Tech beat Montana State-Northern in NAIA action 93-19.

That’s right, 93-19!

It was 66-0 at halftime!

Montana Tech rolled up 932 yards of offense in the game.

And you thought Arkansas had problems?

Hogs blown out by Auburn again … at home

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FAYETTEVILLE — Bret Bielema appears to not have any idea what to do.

After Auburn exploded for 28 unanswered points in the third quarter and rolled to an easy 52-20 win over Arkansas, he pretty much admitted it.

“This is uncharted waters for me,” he said later. “The greatest thing is you only have to worry about the day in front of you. I know we’re close.”

If that sounds familiar, then you’re with everyone else.

Although no one really has any clue what he keeps referring to saying this team is close, it’s obviously not being mediocre. That ship has likely sailed.

And he wasn’t offering any clear path of hope for fans or anyone else after the game.

“Hope is everybody’s gotta do their job, including me,” he said. “How you get better every day. Hope is we’ve got kids with great character and they want to get successful.”

Hope isn’t in Arkansas these days. In the last three weeks, the Hogs have been outscored 141-57 (and at least 27 of those points have come long after the games were decided).

Most of the problems have come in the second half of games.

“It’s a mental barrier,” Bielema said after yet another second-half collapse. “It comes down to guys making plays.”

His excuses have turned to reasons. As he said, he has never been in this position before, being 2-5 and needing to win all five of the remaining games to equal his best regular-season mark.

The problem is this may be the worst team he’s had in now his fifth season.

By the end of the third quarter, you knew it was long over with Auburn leading 45-13. They had 527 yards total offense to the Hogs’ 221.

Worse than that, quarterback Cole Kelley was losing the ball while being sacked by the Tigers’ defense, which is one of the better ones in the league.

“He’s got to improve on the ball security and knowing when the play is over,” Bielema said later.

Coming into this game, Kelley was the principle hope for Hog fans. He finished 15-of-26 passing for 163 yards and no touchdowns. But he did have the fumbles, which is why it appears likely Austin Allen might be ready to go next week.

“He’s closer than he’s been since the injury,” Bielema said after the game. “He got full range of motion in his arm and he’s starting to throw.

This one, though, showed problems with the defense, particularly in the second half when they appeared to have little interest in tackling anybody in a white uniform.

“Coming out of halftime I liked the look in our guys’ eyes,” Bielema said. “They scored on their first possession and we never recovered.”

The Tigers rolled up 629 yards in total offense while the Razorbacks had just 334.

The win pushed Auburn to 6-2 overall and they likely will move up from the No. 21 spot they fell to after blowing a 20-point lead to LSU last week.

This time, in what is becoming a familiar scene for Hog fans, it was a close first half — Auburn led 17-6 at halftime — but things fell apart quickly in the third quarter.

The Tigers scored touchdowns on three of their four possessions in the third quarter and Arkansas helped. On a fair catch of a punt, two Arkansas players ran into each other, the ball caromed free and Auburn recovered it.

They scored on the first play when wide receiver Ryan Davis came on an end-around, pulled up and found Darius Slayton wide open for a 62-yard scoring play that made it 38-6 with 4:13 left in the third period.

It was over there, for all intents and purposes.

Bielema’s overall record now is 27-31 overall and 10-26 in the SEC. He will have to win every game to get his record one game over .500 at the end of the regular season.

Don’t even ask how long it would take to get near .500 in the SEC (try winning every game this year and the next year and a half)

It makes you wonder if his seat is, indeed, hot.

For his part, he’s saying what coaches have said that know they are going to be fired, although it’s still a huge question mark if that will happen regardless of what happens the rest of the way.

As he said Saturday night, he’s looking now at Ole Miss.

And, lest any of us forget, this team is close.

Bret reminds us of that at every opportunity.

Close to what, though, is still anybody’s guess.

KNWA VIDEO: Macon, Jones after Red-White game

Razorbacks Daryl Macon, C.J. Jones talk with media after Red-White game on Friday night.

Can Hogs pull off miracle win against Auburn?

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With more tickets available than willing buyers, you have to wonder exactly how many people will show up Saturday night at Razorback Stadium.

Oh, it will probably be announced at 72,000 or more because it will likely be counted as a sellout. That’s just the way things seem to work in Fayetteville these days.

After all, it is more about wins and losses and the UA is “not a win-at-all-cost” program. We know this because Boss Hog Jeff Long told us so. Good fans should understand this and truly accept that pronouncement from on high.

The number of no-shows right now should be of more interest to Long than how many tickets he sold, including the discounted prices or give-aways.

This season may not be in the ditch yet, but it is careening out of control.

Whether it lands there or not might just depend on what happens against Auburn, who is probably more than happy to be playing this game on the road after the faceplant they performed in Baton Rouge last week.

What else can you call blowing a 20-0 lead to a team that lost to Troy?

For his part, Bret Bielema is still pointing out positives, although that was, admittedly, a very small part of his press conference this week.

Let’s face it, the 41-9 loss to Alabama wasn’t that close. It could have been worse, much, much worse.

When you look at the metrics, Auburn’s offense has been like an experimental car engine. When it works right, it can really roll. When it doesn’t, well, it’s not very pretty to watch.

Longtimer Arkansas observers of Gus Malzahn are probably shaking their heads at the offensive inconsistency. For the last decade or so, he may be the most polarizing name in football in this state.

And there’s little middle ground. Folks either love Gus … or hate him. Nobody can understand why he’s got a team that’s struggling offensively.

As usual, it comes down to the players. When he had Nick Marshall at quarterback, Gus had an offense that scored points and kept them in games. Then he went with Jeremy Johnson who, quite frankly, may have struggled to spell ESPN.

In Bielema’s best season, 2015, the Hogs pulled off a four-overtime win over Auburn’s worst team in the last five years. The average margin as been 21 points in the Tigers’ favor.

Since everyone in Fayetteville looks at things like Olympic scoring (throw out the worst information), it’s still 42-23 in Auburn’s favor.

Malzahn has been one of the many thorns in the side for Bielema (along with, naturally, Alabama, but also Texas A&M, Mississippi State and Missouri). The Hogs are 1-3 against the Tigers over the last four years.

Now we come to a game where neither fan base is happy, although the Auburn side might be a tad more ticked off than the Arkansas group. There’s talk Gus may have to stay in Arkansas if he loses this game, which is probably an exaggeration, but you get the idea.

Bielema sounds like a guy who is still trying to convince himself (or his team?) they are close to something that hasn’t been exactly made clear. That argument had some support in 2014, but not now.

All that could change Saturday night.

All Bielema needs is a win over the Tigers. I’m not certain just playing it close gets it done. The fans aren’t interested in any more discussion of being close.

They want wins. Now.

Instead, Bielema this week has started sounding like a coach in the first year of a rebuilding plan. No, seriously, he’s talked about not having the numbers in certain positions on the team and mistakes he’s made in recruiting numbers.

Sorry, Bret, but in year five in the SEC, saying those kinds of things is only giving reasons, not excuses.

To some, Bielema is actually giving reasons for their argument to have him fired. That’s why the powers that be are starting to leak out information that his buy-out may not be what everyone thought it was.

At this point, there really is only one way to quiet the noise after going 2-4 through the first half of the season.

Bielema is hoping to repeat what the Hogs did in three of the previous four years by what he claims are strong finishes.

In reality, though, he’s only 7-5 in November. That’s not exactly rolling at the end. October is worse, going just 5-5.

Maybe worse is, in my opinion, this is the worst team Bielema’s had at Arkansas. Yes, worse than the 2013 team.

Which is why the Hogs probably won’t win this game. As is usually the case in college football, the team with the best players wins the game.

In this case, Auburn has more players than Arkansas.

And, since Bielema likely isn’t going to be fired this year, he just WANTS to win this game.

Malzahn, on the other hand, HAS to win to have any hope of keeping his job and that’s not a certainty.

So, we’ll stick with the averages on this one and go with Auburn to win, 45-10.

Unless there’s that miracle we mentioned.