Bret’s not gone … yet; an amazingly bad statistic

Apparently several online news outlets have waited until the Arkansas bandwagon got rolling full steam … now they’re throwing themselves under it.

No, there has been no official announcement from anyone with the UA.

But everyone has suspected for weeks that Bret Bielema will be fired. The questions started back in September, then picked up steam in October a simmering calm after one-point wins over bad teams and now are back at full throttle.

Bielema has the Hogs at 4-7 this season with a game against Missouri on Friday. The Tigers have an offense that’s breaking scoreboards and a suddenly effective defense.

It doesn’t look good. Missouri will be favored. They are already a 65.9 percent pick in ESPN’s FPI rating, which is remarkably accurate.

A loss drops Arkansas to 4-8 in a season of discontent that started the second week of the season for many fans when they fell apart in the final half of the fourth quarter against TCU.

Bielema’s problem is he doesn’t have a single big time marker in his time at Arkansas. He is currently 29-33 overall and 11-28 in the SEC. That is the lowest SEC percentage of wins since the Hogs came to the league in 1992.

In all that, though, is an even more amazing statistic that I wasn’t aware of.

In all games against Power 5 opponents, Bielema is 14-32. One game shy of half of Bielema’s wins have been against non-Power 5 teams.

With an 8-22 record in games against SEC West opponents, the only team he has a winning record against is Ole Miss. He has never beaten Alabama or Texas A&M. He’s only beaten Auburn and Mississippi State once each.

If LSU and Ole Miss had bothered to do a moderate amount of preparation in 2014 and 2015 he might not have a couple of those wins.

But, I’m sure Bret would be quick to point out, they were close on so, so many occasions in those games.

That will be penned on his Arkansas monument: “He was close a lot.”

But he hasn’t been fired yet.

Some online news outlets are reporting that a site said “it appears that Arkansas is ready to move on from Bret Bielema.”

The only shocking thing about that is, well, everybody in Arkansas knew that a month ago.

It’s just a matter of days, folks.

And, of course, that starts an entirely new conversation.

 

RAZORBACK FOOTBALL

Sat, Sep 5vs North AlabamaW 31-14
Sat, Sep 12@ UtahL, 43-10
Sat, Sep 19GeorgiaL, 45-17
Sat, Sep 26TulsaW 34-6
Sat, Oct 3@ Texas A&M6:00 PM
ESPN or ESPN2
Sat, Oct 10Tennessee3:15 PM
SEC Network
Sat, Oct 17@ VanderbiltTBA
Sat, Oct 31vs MissouriTBA
Sat, Nov 7@ AuburnTBA
Sat, Nov 14South CarolinaTBA
Sat, Nov 21@ TexasTBA
Sat, Nov 28vs LSUTBA

HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL

OVERALLRecordPts
1.Bentonville (15)4-01921
2.Conway3-11582
3.Shiloh Christian (2)4-01533
4.Bentonville West (2)4-01434
5.Joe T. Robinson4-01075
6.Searcy4-0966
7.North Little Rock4-0899
8.Bryant (1)1-3378
9.Sylvan Hills4-031—
10.Benton2-2189
Others receiving votes: Springdale Har-Ber 17, Sheridan 13, Greenwood 9, Fayetteville 9, El Dorado 5, Mountain Home 5, Stuttgart 5, Pulaski Academy 4, LR Mills 4, Farmington 3, LR Parkview 2.
CLASS 7A
1.Bentonville (15)4-0921
2.Conway3-1652
3.Shiloh Christian (2)4-0563
4.Bentonville West (2)4-0524
5.North Little Rock4-0205
Others receiving votes: Bryant (1) 14, Springdale Har-Ber 1.
CLASS 6A
1.Searcy (19)4-0991
2.Sylvan Hills3-1603
3.Benton (1)2-2462
4.Sheridan4-029—
4.El Dorado3-1264
Others receiving votes: Mountain Home 25, Van Buren 15.
CLASS 5A
1.Joe T. Robinson (20)4-01001
2.Greenwood2-2612
3.Little Rock Parkview3-146—
4.Farmington4-0444
5.Little Rock Mills4-015—
Others receiving votes: Valley View 10, Greenbrier 10, HS Lakeside 4, Jacksonville 4, Camden Fairview 4, Pine Bluff 2.
CLASS 4A
1.Stuttgart (16)4-0951
2.Nashville (2)4-0772
3.Gosnell (1)4-0433
4.Ozark4-029—
5.Elkins3-155
Others receiving votes: Fountain Lake 10, Gravette 8, Arkadelphia 6, Forrest City 5, Hamburg 3, Pottsville 2, Lonoke 1.

CLASS 3A
1.Fordyce (12)2-1851
2.Bismarck (1)3-1612
3.Smackover (4)4-0464
4.Mansfield (2)3-2383
5.Rivercrest223-1225
Others receiving votes: Glen Rose 20, Walnut Ridge (1) 12, Rison 8, Palestine-Wheatley 3, Newport 2, Quitman 2, Atkins 1.
CLASS 2A
1.Mount Ida (15)5-0931
2.Baptist Prep (4)4-0712
3.Junction City2-3303
4.Marked Tree3-122—
5.Gurdon3-219—
Others receiving votes: East Poinsett County 17, Earle (1) 13, Bigelow 11, Bearden 7, Hazen 6, Dierks 5, Des Arc 3, Hector 2, England 1.
8-MAN SANCTIONED
1.Corning (8)4-0341
2.Cedar Ridge (6)4-0322
3.Magazine (1)2-012—
Others receiving votes: Izard County 8, Woodlawn 3, Rose Bud 1.