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Bret’s not gone … yet; an amazingly bad statistic
Sunday’s stories on some internet sites that Arkansas is ready to move on from Bielema are just a few weeks late to the party and one surprising statistic.
Apparently several online news outlets have waited until the Arkansas bandwagon got rolling full steam … now they’re throwing themselves under it.
No, there has been no official announcement from anyone with the UA.
But everyone has suspected for weeks that Bret Bielema will be fired. The questions started back in September, then picked up steam in October a simmering calm after one-point wins over bad teams and now are back at full throttle.
Bielema has the Hogs at 4-7 this season with a game against Missouri on Friday. The Tigers have an offense that’s breaking scoreboards and a suddenly effective defense.
It doesn’t look good. Missouri will be favored. They are already a 65.9 percent pick in ESPN’s FPI rating, which is remarkably accurate.
A loss drops Arkansas to 4-8 in a season of discontent that started the second week of the season for many fans when they fell apart in the final half of the fourth quarter against TCU.
Bielema’s problem is he doesn’t have a single big time marker in his time at Arkansas. He is currently 29-33 overall and 11-28 in the SEC. That is the lowest SEC percentage of wins since the Hogs came to the league in 1992.
In all that, though, is an even more amazing statistic that I wasn’t aware of.
In all games against Power 5 opponents, Bielema is 14-32. One game shy of half of Bielema’s wins have been against non-Power 5 teams.
With an 8-22 record in games against SEC West opponents, the only team he has a winning record against is Ole Miss. He has never beaten Alabama or Texas A&M. He’s only beaten Auburn and Mississippi State once each.
If LSU and Ole Miss had bothered to do a moderate amount of preparation in 2014 and 2015 he might not have a couple of those wins.
But, I’m sure Bret would be quick to point out, they were close on so, so many occasions in those games.
That will be penned on his Arkansas monument: “He was close a lot.”
But he hasn’t been fired yet.
Some online news outlets are reporting that a site said “it appears that Arkansas is ready to move on from Bret Bielema.”
The only shocking thing about that is, well, everybody in Arkansas knew that a month ago.
It’s just a matter of days, folks.
And, of course, that starts an entirely new conversation.
| Fri, Dec 27 |  | Liberty Bowl vs Texas Tech (Memphis) | 6:00 PM ESPN |
| Thu, Aug 29 |  | vs UAPB (Little Rock) | W, 70-0 |
| Sat, Sep 7 |  | @ Oklahoma State | L, 31-39 2OT |
| Sat, Sep 14 |  | vs UAB | W, 37-27 |
| Sat, Sep 21 |  | @ Auburn | W, 24-14 |
| Sat, Sep 28 |  | vs Texas A&M (Arl) | L, 21-17 |
| Sat, Oct 5 |  | vs Tennessee | W, 19-14 |
| Sat, Oct 19 |  | vs LSU | L, 34-10 |
| Sat, Oct 26 |  | @ Mississippi State | W, 58-25 |
| Sat, Nov 2 |  | vs Ole Miss | L, 63-31 |
| Sat, Nov 16 |  | vs Texas | L, 20-10 |
| Sat, Nov 23 |  | vs Louisiana Tech | W, 35-14 |
| Sat, Nov 30 |  | @ Missouri | L, 28-21 |
| OVERALL | Record | Pts | ||
| 1. | Bryant (21) | 13-0 | 246 | 1 |
| 2. | Greenwood (4) | 13-0 | 224 | 2 |
| 3. | Bentonville | 9-4 | 185 | 5 |
| 4. | Little Rock Parkview | 13-1 | 173 | 4 |
| 5. | Conway | 10-2 | 156 | 3 |
| 6. | Pulaski Academy | 10-3 | 112 | 8 |
| 7. | Shiloh Christian | 9-4 | 77 | — |
| 6. | Benton | 10-2 | 67 | 6 |
| 7. | Fayetteville | 9-3 | 52 | 7 |
| 9. | Rogers | 8-4 | 35 | 9 |
| Others receiving votes: Arkadelphia 20, Farmington 15, Valley View 5, Hot Springs Lakeside, Mountain Home 2, Salem 2, Conway Christian 1, Little Rock Christian 1. | ||||
| CLASS 7A | ||||
| 1. | Bryant (25) | 13-0 | 125 | 1 |
| 2. | Bentonville | 9-4 | 98 | 3 |
| 3. | Conway | 10-2 | 77 | 2 |
| 4. | Pulaski Academy | 10-3 | 48 | 5 |
| 5. | Fayetteville | 9-3 | 17 | 4 |
| Others receiving votes: Rogers 10. | ||||
| CLASS 6A | ||||
| 1. | Greenwood (25) | 13-0 | 125 | 1 |
| 2. | Shiloh Christian | 9-4 | 96 | 4 |
| 3. | Benton | 10-2 | 77 | 2 |
| 4. | Mountain Home | 10-3 | 51 | 3 |
| 5. | Lake Hamilton | 8-4 | 20 | — |
| Others receiving votes: Little Rock Catholic 6. | ||||
| CLASS 5A | ||||
| 1. | Little Rock Parkview (25) | 13-1 | 125 | 1 |
| 4. | Farmington | 12-2 | 90 | 4 |
| 3. | Valley View | 12-1 | 68 | 3 |
| 5. | Hot Springs Lakeside | 10-3 | 60 | 5 |
| 2. | Joe T. Robinson | 10-2 | 25 | 2 |
| Others receiving votes: Morrilton 3. | ||||
| CLASS 4A | ||||
| 1. | Arkadelphia (25) | 13-2 | 125 | 2 |
| 2. | Elkins | 14-1 | 99 | 1 |
| 3. | Little Rock Mills | 12-1 | 52 | 3 |
| 4. | Southside Batesville | 13-1 | 46 | 5t |
| 5. | Warren | 10-3 | 28 | 4 |
| Others receiving votes: Malvern 3. | ||||
| CLASS 3A | ||||
| 1. | Salem (25) | 11-4 | 125 | — |
| 2. | Bismarck | 14-1 | 100 | 1 |
| 3. | Mansfield | 11-3 | 65 | — |
| 4. | Fordyce | 11-1 | 42 | 2 |
| 5. | Osceola | 10-2 | 21 | 4 |
| Others receiving votes: Booneville 17, Prescott 3, Rivercrest 2. | ||||
| CLASS 2A | ||||
| 1. | Conway Christian (25) | 14-0 | 125 | 2 |
| 2. | East Poinsett Co. | 10-4 | 98 | 4 |
| 3. | Junction City | 9-4 | 68 | — |
| 5. | Mount Ida | 9-3 | 41 | — |
| 4. | Carlisle | 11-1 | 25 | 1 |
| Others receiving votes: Des Arc 8, Bigelow 6, Murfreesboro 3, Cross County 1. | ||||
| 8-MAN SANCTIONED | ||||
| 1. | Strong-Huttig (25) | 8-0 | 75 | 1 |
| 2. | Midland | 11-1 | 50 | 2 |
| 3. | Cedar Ridge | 9-2 | 22 | 3 |
| Others receiving votes: Woodlawn 3. | ||||